| Global Economics
- Viewpoints |
The Economic
Policy Institute, a nonprofit Washington D.C. think tank,
was created in 1986 to broaden the discussion about economic
policy to include the interests of low- and middle-income
workers. Today, with global competition expanding, wage
inequality rising, and the methods and nature of work changing
in fundamental ways, it is as crucial as ever that people who
work for a living have a voice in the economic discourse.
Morgan Stanley's Global Economic Forum and Strategy Bulletin:
Nov 3 - 12, 2009
>>>
Archive
MFS Global Perspectives:
October 2009
Wells Fargo
Advisors Market
Commentaries For
the Week of November 16, 2009:
|
World Markets - Technical
Analysis |
Broad market percentages supports
bullish
outlook
One of the most important charts
that all investors should be watching is the level of
bullish participation of stocks on the NYSE Composite.
This graph illustrates the number of equities that are
trading above their long-term 200-day moving average on
the broad-based index. Currently that level is a very
bullish 87.67%. This moving average is used by numerous
money managers worldwide to determine the trading
direction of securities.
As many market watchers are now forecasting a retest
of the March 2009 levels or lower, investors should take
note that a drop of that magnitude is highly unlikely
when the "Big Board" has such an impressive number of
stocks trending up.
High bullish percentages typically develop in the first
year of the new bull market. This is also the time when
equities rise well in advance of their fundamentals.
Supporting earnings to stock prices often requires
another 1-2 years of economic growth to catch-up.
Deep retracements can occur when the percentage of
equities above their 200-day m/a falls to 55% or below.
Evidence of this action developed in 2002 and again in
late 2007 to early 2009.
Bottom line: Investors should monitor the levels of
bullish participation on the NYSE Composite. This can
provide confirmation of the continuation of a bull
market or any future weakness. High percentages (80% to
90%) indicate strong bullish activity. Levels of 55% to
80% are more sustainable for longer-term upward growth.
Percentage levels of 55% or below imply downward
pressure is building on the index.
Investment approach: Current data suggests the high
percentage of NYSE stocks in a bull trend should persist
into early 2010. Historical information indicates the
percentage should then decline down to 55%-80% by
mid-2010.
Donald W. Dony, FCSI, MFTA
Archive |
|
Economic Analysis & Commentary |
|
THE KWR INTERNATIONAL ADVISOR
|
| Reading |
-
IMF:
Reshaping the Global Economy
The economic and financial crisis marks the end (for
now) of a rapid expansion of globalization (March 2009)
-
Economics A-Z: Pareto efficiency? Phillips
Curve? Inflation? Deflation? Stagnation?
Look up
economic terms in this handy online resource, provided
by The Economist
|
|
| News & Commentaries |
|
Commodities
FTSE 100 ·
CAC 40 ·
Dax
·
MIBTEL
· IBEX
35 Index ·
Dow Jones STOXX
>
More European Indices
- Asian
Development Bank: ADB is an international
development finance institution whose mission is to help
its developing member countries reduce poverty and
improve the quality of life of their people.
-
The
China Perspective provides business-related
information with daily updates of major trends and
developments in the burgeoning Chinese economy, as well
as a weekly summary of the most pertinent issues in the
foreign press. $$$
- The
JapanInvestor
is dedicated to investors in Japanese stocks,
bonds and the yen. TJI provides a weekly strategic
analysis of Japanese stocks and financial markets,
providing you with views you can profitably use to
invest in Japan.
- Asian
Business Watch - A comprehensive source for
investment and economic information on Asia and Japan.
- Financial Times: Daily Update
-
CNNfn News: Asian Markets
- Macquarie Research: This Week in Asia
(pdf)
- StocksAbroad.com
- Resources for Investing in Asia and Latin America
Stocks
- ValueNotes.com
- A complete directory and search engine for Indian
equity research, business, financial and stock market
information
- India:
Outlookindia.com
and
outlookmoney.com
-
Mizuho Securities
- Research and Links to English language resources on
the Japanese economy, finance, politics and law
- The Edge
is
Malaysia's best selling and highly regarded
publication on business & investment.
-
Center for Asia
Investment Intelligence
- Economic and Financial Analysis with focus on
Japan and Korea
- Australian
Stock Exchange data and information: Live Data
from the Australian Stock Exchange. ASX data, End of
day. Live, Dynamic. Australian economic news. Financial
& company news. Charts.
-
Sharetradingeducation: Home of
the Investing Online Newsletter & practical risk
management and tools. Download FREE TRIAL ISSUE and free
sample of Atkinson-Guppy Articles ebook of articles from
Daryl Guppy's newsletter, Atkinson portfolio tools &
Home Study courses on the work of Jim Berg, Daryl Guppy,
Alan Hull and Simon Sherwood.
All Ordinaries ·
Shanghai
Composite ·
Hang
Seng ·
BSE 30
·
Jakarta
Composite ·
KLSE
Composite ·
Nikkei 225 ·
NZSE
50 ·
Straits Times ·
Seoul
Composite ·
Taiwan Weighted ·
Headlines for these Markets
-
North American Stock Indices
-
Latin American Stock Indices
- InfoMoney focuses on providing
financial information about the Brazilian market.
News, stock quotes, technical and fundamental analysis
and interactive tools. (Portugese)
- Financial Times: Daily Update U.S.
Markets
- Financial
Chat
is home to the Internet's most sophisticated and
active real-time trading chatrooms. In our forums, we
have some of the world's finest traders with us daily,
willing to share information in real time, as well as
educate and assist you in your trading. Real traders
trading US and foreign markets, posting real-time
trades, and giving real-time market commentary.
- StocksAbroad.com
- Resources for Investing in Asia and Latin America
Stocks
MerVal
Argentina ·
Bovespa Brazil
·
S&P TSX
Composite ·
IPSA
Chile · IPC
Mexico · S&P
500 ·
DJIA
·
NASDAQ
·
Headlines for these Markets ·
·
Emerging Markets
Currencies
Major Currency Cross Rates
JPY
to USD
· EURO to USD ·
CAN $ to
USD ·
U.K. £
to USD ·
AU $ to
USD ·
CHF to
USD >
Currency Headlines |
Economies |
|
NEW: OECD Factbook 2009:
The online gateway to OECD Factbook PDFs,
Excel™ and interactive graphs. Access to the key
indicators for the World’s leading economies is only a
click away. To access all the contents free online,
click
here.
OECD Economic Outlook No. 85,
June 2009
-
-
-
Flashfile: summary of projections by country
(XLS)
-
-
OECD Documentation: Statistics, Data and Indicators
Extensive economic statistics, data, and indicators from
member and non-member countries.
-
Economic Outlook for OECD countries: an interim
assessment (pdf, 588Kb,
English)
-
IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) --
Crisis and Recovery - April 2009
-
January 2009: IMF
World Economic Outlook:
Global Economic Slump Challenges Policies
-
IMF Economic Outlooks and IMF
Country Reports by Date
- Commerzbank Research:
Industrial Countries
-
Global Business Cycle Indicators
- The Conference Board publishes leading,
coincident, and lagging indexes designed to signal peaks
and troughs in the business cycle for nine countries
around the world
-
Regional Economic Outlook - Europe: Securing
Recovery
Date: October 2009
Europe's contraction is ending, but the recovery is
fragile. Policymakers should look beyond the crisis to
secure a durable upswing and address the threats to
potential growth from the crisis and the continent's
well-known structural rigidities. The report's
analytical work stresses the uncertainty surrounding
potential growth estimates, and the more volatile
environment faced by emerging economies in a tightly
integrated region. In the near term, this calls for
measures to restore the financial sector to health and
for continued macroeconomic support, while preparing for
the exit from extraordinary interventions in a
coordinated and transparent fashion. Higher longer-term
growth through structural change will support the
recovery, smooth the exit, and help emerging markets to
adjust to lower capital inflows in the crisis'
aftermath. Published biannually in May and October.
-
Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific
Date: May 2009
The May 2009 Asia and Pacific REO looks at the impact of
the global financial crisis on Asia. Chapter 1 argues
that a sustained recovery will need to await an
improvement in the global economy, given Asian
economies' specialization on advanced manufacturing and
increasing financial ties with the rest of the world.
Indeed, Chapter 2 shows that Asia has typically not
recovered until exports have started to revive. An
expansionary policy stance would provide insurance
against the risks that a delayed global recovery could
hurt the corporate and bank sectors, as discussed in
Chapter 3. Some useful insights on how to deal with the
adverse impact of the crisis may come from Japan's
experience during the 1990s, discussed in Chapter 4.
-
Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere -
Crisis Averted--What's Next?
Date: October 2009
The impact of the global financial crisis and recession
on the Latin America and Caribbean region was
substantial, but the worst is over for most countries.
The region avoided falling into a crisis of its own,
performing relatively well amid strong external shocks.
Many countries have now returned to growth. The region
now faces the challenge of adapting to a new global
environment that will not be as favorable as in the
past. The latest edition of the report explores the
lessons and policy agenda emerging from the recent
performance of the Latin America and Caribbean region,
drawing also on the broader international experience.
Published biannually in May and October.
-
Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and
Central Asia
Date: October 2009
The global economic crisis has taken a toll on the
Middle East and Central Asia region, but appropriate
policy responses have helped mitigate the impact.
Looking ahead, the regionâs oil exporters are expected
to benefit from rising oil prices as the world economy
begins to pull out of an unparalleled post-World War II
recession. Oil importers, however, are likely to
continue to face continued headwinds that may delay an
uptake in growth. Where feasible, countries should
continue to support domestic demand to lessen the impact
of the crisis on the poor while maintaining a focus on
debt sustainability. For the region's low-income
countries, higher donor support will be needed to
maintain economic development. Across the region,
governments should further strengthen financial systems
and be careful not to lose momentum on structural
reforms. Published biannually in May and October.
-
Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa
Date: October 2009
Sub-Saharan Africa has been hit hard by the global
recession, but signs of resilience remain. While South
Africa and some other middle-income countries were
caught in the turbulence of international financial
markets, and oil exporters saw government revenues
plunge, some countries with wider commodity bases have
so far escaped the worst of the crisis. Also, and
reassuringly, with stronger initial fiscal and external
positions than in past downturns, most countries in the
region have been able to partially absorb external
shocks by allowing fiscal deficits to rise and reducing
interest rates. Exchange rates have generally been
allowed to adjust. With many families affected by the
crisis, however, progress toward the Millennium
Development Goals has receded. Looking ahead, fiscal
policy must balance support for the recovery with
enhancing future growth prospects, debt sustainability,
and poverty reduction. Published biannually in May and
October.
Français
|
Get information to help you reach your
investing and
financial planning goals.
FOREX trading explained;
mortgage and
credit card help, too.
Visit
Financial Web

|